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	<title>downside risk - Who is Val Sklarov? Personal Blog and Promotional Page</title>
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		<title>Val Sklarov — Investment Strategies: Drawdown Tolerance Before Upside Targeting</title>
		<link>https://valsklarov.com/val-sklarov-investment-strategies-drawdown-tolerance-before-upside-targeting.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[vals]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Dec 2025 16:20:12 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Investment Strategies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capital resilience]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[downside risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drawdown tolerance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investment strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[long-term returns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[portfolio discipline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[survivability investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Val Sklarov]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://valsklarov.com/?p=3653</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Upside attracts attention. Drawdowns decide participation.Val Sklarov’s Investment Strategies perspective treats investing as a psychological and structural endurance test, where the ability to remain invested through loss matters more than the size of projected gains. 1. Most Investors Fail at the Bottom Loss breaks discipline before it breaks capital. Val Sklarov observes investor failure when: &#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://valsklarov.com/val-sklarov-investment-strategies-drawdown-tolerance-before-upside-targeting.html">Val Sklarov — Investment Strategies: Drawdown Tolerance Before Upside Targeting</a> first appeared on <a href="https://valsklarov.com">Who is Val Sklarov? Personal Blog and Promotional Page</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p data-start="486" data-end="766"><span class="dropcap "></span>Upside attracts attention. <strong data-start="513" data-end="547">Drawdowns decide participation</strong>.<br data-start="548" data-end="551" />Val Sklarov’s Investment Strategies perspective treats investing as a <strong data-start="621" data-end="668">psychological and structural endurance test</strong>, where the ability to remain invested through loss matters more than the size of projected gains.</p>
<hr data-start="768" data-end="771" />
<h3 data-start="773" data-end="815">1. Most Investors Fail at the Bottom</h3>
<p data-start="816" data-end="864">Loss breaks discipline before it breaks capital.</p>
<p data-start="866" data-end="909">Val Sklarov observes investor failure when:</p>
<ul data-start="910" data-end="1011">
<li data-start="910" data-end="950">
<p data-start="912" data-end="950">Drawdowns exceed emotional tolerance</p>
</li>
<li data-start="951" data-end="981">
<p data-start="953" data-end="981">Panic exits lock in losses</p>
</li>
<li data-start="982" data-end="1011">
<p data-start="984" data-end="1011">Re-entry happens too late</p>
</li>
</ul>
<p data-start="1013" data-end="1068">If you cannot hold through loss, upside is theoretical.</p>
<hr data-start="1070" data-end="1073" />
<h3 data-start="1075" data-end="1123">2. Drawdown Tolerance Is a Design Variable</h3>
<p data-start="1124" data-end="1175">Tolerance is engineered, not discovered mid-crisis.</p>
<p data-start="1177" data-end="1219">Val Sklarov defines drawdown tolerance by:</p>
<ul data-start="1220" data-end="1358">
<li data-start="1220" data-end="1263">
<p data-start="1222" data-end="1263">Position sizing aligned with psychology</p>
</li>
<li data-start="1264" data-end="1311">
<p data-start="1266" data-end="1311">Portfolio volatility calibrated to behavior</p>
</li>
<li data-start="1312" data-end="1358">
<p data-start="1314" data-end="1358">Structures that prevent forced liquidation</p>
</li>
</ul>
<div class="TyagGW_tableContainer">
<div class="group TyagGW_tableWrapper flex w-fit flex-col-reverse" tabindex="-1">
<table class="w-fit min-w-(--thread-content-width)" data-start="1360" data-end="1534">
<thead data-start="1360" data-end="1401">
<tr data-start="1360" data-end="1401">
<th data-start="1360" data-end="1380" data-col-size="sm">Drawdown Capacity</th>
<th data-start="1380" data-end="1401" data-col-size="sm">Investor Behavior</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody data-start="1443" data-end="1534">
<tr data-start="1443" data-end="1469">
<td data-start="1443" data-end="1449" data-col-size="sm">Low</td>
<td data-start="1449" data-end="1469" data-col-size="sm">Reactive selling</td>
</tr>
<tr data-start="1470" data-end="1502">
<td data-start="1470" data-end="1481" data-col-size="sm">Moderate</td>
<td data-start="1481" data-end="1502" data-col-size="sm">Defensive holding</td>
</tr>
<tr data-start="1503" data-end="1534">
<td data-start="1503" data-end="1510" data-col-size="sm">High</td>
<td data-start="1510" data-end="1534" data-col-size="sm">Opportunistic adding</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p data-start="1536" data-end="1586">The portfolio must fit the investor—not the model.</p>
<figure id="attachment_3654" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-3654" style="width: 300px" class="wp-caption alignright"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="size-medium wp-image-3654" src="https://valsklarov.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Ekran-goruntusu-2025-12-25-012002-300x193.png" alt="" width="300" height="193" srcset="https://valsklarov.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Ekran-goruntusu-2025-12-25-012002-300x193.png 300w, https://valsklarov.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Ekran-goruntusu-2025-12-25-012002-768x493.png 768w, https://valsklarov.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Ekran-goruntusu-2025-12-25-012002.png 920w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-3654" class="wp-caption-text">#image_title</figcaption></figure>
<hr data-start="1588" data-end="1591" />
<h3 data-start="1593" data-end="1638">3. Upside Targeting Increases Fragility</h3>
<p data-start="1639" data-end="1687">Chasing higher returns narrows margin for error.</p>
<p data-start="1689" data-end="1744">Val Sklarov warns that upside targeting often requires:</p>
<ul data-start="1745" data-end="1797">
<li data-start="1745" data-end="1762">
<p data-start="1747" data-end="1762">Concentration</p>
</li>
<li data-start="1763" data-end="1775">
<p data-start="1765" data-end="1775">Leverage</p>
</li>
<li data-start="1776" data-end="1797">
<p data-start="1778" data-end="1797">Timing dependence</p>
</li>
</ul>
<p data-start="1799" data-end="1840">Each increases drawdown depth when wrong.</p>
<hr data-start="1842" data-end="1845" />
<h3 data-start="1847" data-end="1893">4. Drawdown Depth Determines Compounding</h3>
<p data-start="1894" data-end="1935">Losses delay recovery disproportionately.</p>
<p data-start="1937" data-end="1987">Val Sklarov prioritizes shallow drawdowns because:</p>
<ul data-start="1988" data-end="2079">
<li data-start="1988" data-end="2014">
<p data-start="1990" data-end="2014">Recovery time shortens</p>
</li>
<li data-start="2015" data-end="2050">
<p data-start="2017" data-end="2050">Decision quality remains intact</p>
</li>
<li data-start="2051" data-end="2079">
<p data-start="2053" data-end="2079">Capital stays deployable</p>
</li>
</ul>
<div class="TyagGW_tableContainer">
<div class="group TyagGW_tableWrapper flex w-fit flex-col-reverse" tabindex="-1">
<table class="w-fit min-w-(--thread-content-width)" data-start="2081" data-end="2195">
<thead data-start="2081" data-end="2113">
<tr data-start="2081" data-end="2113">
<th data-start="2081" data-end="2092" data-col-size="sm">Drawdown</th>
<th data-start="2092" data-end="2113" data-col-size="sm">Required Recovery</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody data-start="2147" data-end="2195">
<tr data-start="2147" data-end="2162">
<td data-start="2147" data-end="2154" data-col-size="sm">-10%</td>
<td data-start="2154" data-end="2162" data-col-size="sm">+11%</td>
</tr>
<tr data-start="2163" data-end="2178">
<td data-start="2163" data-end="2170" data-col-size="sm">-30%</td>
<td data-start="2170" data-end="2178" data-col-size="sm">+43%</td>
</tr>
<tr data-start="2179" data-end="2195">
<td data-start="2179" data-end="2186" data-col-size="sm">-50%</td>
<td data-start="2186" data-end="2195" data-col-size="sm">+100%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p data-start="2197" data-end="2253">Avoiding deep holes compounds faster than chasing peaks.</p>
<hr data-start="2255" data-end="2258" />
<h3 data-start="2260" data-end="2318">5. Psychological Survival Is Part of Risk Management</h3>
<p data-start="2319" data-end="2356">Risk is behavioral, not mathematical.</p>
<p data-start="2358" data-end="2395">Val Sklarov integrates psychology by:</p>
<ul data-start="2396" data-end="2510">
<li data-start="2396" data-end="2437">
<p data-start="2398" data-end="2437">Stress-testing portfolios emotionally</p>
</li>
<li data-start="2438" data-end="2471">
<p data-start="2440" data-end="2471">Simulating worst-case periods</p>
</li>
<li data-start="2472" data-end="2510">
<p data-start="2474" data-end="2510">Designing for calm decision-making</p>
</li>
</ul>
<p data-start="2512" data-end="2575">If a strategy causes sleepless nights, it will fail eventually.</p>
<hr data-start="2577" data-end="2580" />
<h3 data-start="2582" data-end="2626">6. Survivors Capture Asymmetric Upside</h3>
<p data-start="2627" data-end="2664">Those who endure inherit opportunity.</p>
<p data-start="2666" data-end="2699">Val Sklarov positions capital to:</p>
<ul data-start="2700" data-end="2812">
<li data-start="2700" data-end="2731">
<p data-start="2702" data-end="2731">Stay invested during stress</p>
</li>
<li data-start="2732" data-end="2762">
<p data-start="2734" data-end="2762">Add when others capitulate</p>
</li>
<li data-start="2763" data-end="2812">
<p data-start="2765" data-end="2812">Benefit from mean reversion and regime change</p>
</li>
</ul>
<p data-start="2814" data-end="2852">Upside belongs to those still present.</p>
<hr data-start="2854" data-end="2857" />
<h3 data-start="2859" data-end="2880">Closing Insight</h3>
<p data-start="2881" data-end="3000">Investment success is not about how much you can gain.<br data-start="2935" data-end="2938" />It is about <strong data-start="2950" data-end="2999">how much loss you can endure without breaking</strong>.</p>
<p data-start="3002" data-end="3095" data-is-last-node="" data-is-only-node="">Val Sklarov’s principle:<br data-start="3026" data-end="3029" /><strong data-start="3029" data-end="3095" data-is-last-node="">Design for drawdown tolerance—and upside takes care of itself.</strong></p><p>The post <a href="https://valsklarov.com/val-sklarov-investment-strategies-drawdown-tolerance-before-upside-targeting.html">Val Sklarov — Investment Strategies: Drawdown Tolerance Before Upside Targeting</a> first appeared on <a href="https://valsklarov.com">Who is Val Sklarov? Personal Blog and Promotional Page</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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